Allan Lichtman Predicts 2024 Presidential Election Odds. Lichtman says that keys 2, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, and 13 are true this year: Presidential historian allan lichtman predicts democratic presidential nominee vice president kamala harris will win the 2024 election.

Lichtman has correctly predicted nearly every presidential election result of the u.s. While campaign events and speeches draw much attention, lichtman argues that the governing of the incumbent party is more predictive of election outcomes.